Before you trade anything because of us.
Short version: we write opinions, we can be wrong, and nothing here is financial advice. If you want the longer version with the same message in lawyer language, keep reading.
Last updated 2026-04-14
1. What Lacuna is
Lacuna is an independent editorial project that publishes short, opinionated analyses of prediction markets listed on Polymarket and similar venues. Every article represents one view of one market at one moment in time. We take a directional stance, cite our sources, and update the call in public when the evidence moves.
2. Not financial advice
Nothing on this site is financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. We are not a registered investment advisor, broker, or financial planner in any jurisdiction. The editorial calls you read here — our BUY_YES / BUY_NO signals, our price targets, our conviction levels — are opinions for informational and entertainment purposes. They are not recommendations to open, close, or hold any position on Polymarket or anywhere else.
If you act on what we write, you do so on your own judgment, at your own risk, with your own money.
3. Sources and accuracy
We try hard to cite real tweets, real Polymarket comments, and real reporting. We validate that the IDs in our articles resolve to real sources at build time and strip any the model invents. We still make mistakes. Markets move. Sources get deleted. Context shifts. If you spot an error, email hello@lacuna.markets and we will correct the article and note the correction.
4. Views update with the evidence
Every article on Lacuna is a living document. When our view on a market changes, we rewrite the "Current view" section of the same URL, archive the previous view as "Previous view — archived," and add a dated entry to the history. Nothing is silently rewritten. The public changelog of every direction change lives on the flip log.
5. No warranty
The site is provided "as is" with no warranty of any kind, express or implied. We don't guarantee uptime, completeness, timeliness, or accuracy of any analysis. We're not liable for any loss, damage, or missed opportunity that comes from you reading something here and doing something with it.
6. Third-party data
Prediction market prices, comment counts, and source content come from third-party APIs (Polymarket's gamma and CLOB endpoints, Grok's X Live Search, Wikipedia's REST and Commons endpoints). We don't own that data, we don't control when those services change or go down, and we make no claim about the reliability of their upstream sources. Cover images are used under the CC-licensing and public-domain terms credited on each article; if an attribution is wrong, email us and we will fix or remove it.
7. Privacy
The public site does not run analytics, does not set cookies, and does not send identifying information to third parties. When live sparklines refresh in your browser, your browser talks directly to Polymarket's public API — the same way it would if you visited Polymarket yourself. If you join the waitlist, we store the email you typed so we can email you when we open, and nothing else.
8. Changes to these terms
We may update these terms as the project evolves. The "Last updated" date at the top will change, and material revisions will be noted in a release somewhere sensible. Continued use of the site after an update means you accept the new version.
9. Contact
Questions, corrections, takedown requests, or arguments with a call — hello@lacuna.markets.